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RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich ranked highly across the board in last season's Bundesliga. - © DFL Deutsche Fußball Liga GmbH
RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich ranked highly across the board in last season's Bundesliga. - © DFL Deutsche Fußball Liga GmbH

RB Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich: Pre-Supercup AWS Match Facts analysis


Reigning league champions Bayern Munich and new signing Sadio Mane visit DFB Cup winners RB Leipzig in what serves as an eagerly awaited curtain-raiser for the new Bundesliga season. But what do last season's statistics tell us about what might be in store in Saturday's DFL Supercup?

>> Click here for Leipzig vs. Bayern team news!

The first piece of silverware of the new season is on offer this weekend and both teams have players with the potential to grab it with both hands. Bundesliga Player of the Season Christopher Nkunku is one such man, while much of the focus will also be on Mane in his first competitive outing since joining Bayern from Liverpool.

Leipzig will be looking to make the most of home advantage, with Bayern one of only four teams to beat them at the Red Bull Arena (4-1 in September) last season.

They had the joint-best defence in the league along with Bayern (37 goals conceded), with only two coming from long range and two from free-kicks. They were the league's best in both of those categories, and in defender Lukas Klostermann - once clocked at 22.36 miles per hour (36 km/h) - they had the ninth-fastest player in the league.

Watch: Leipzig 1-4 Bayern - highlights!

Nkunku - with 22.08 mph (35.54 km/h) - was 19th on the league-wide list for speed, helping him get 20 goals and 13 assists from his 34 appearances. The French attacker's Expected Goals (xG) rating for 2021/22 was 16.9, meaning he put away three more chances than he would have been expected to.

Leipzig, meanwhile, scored 72 goals from an xG rating of 69.3 - second only to Bayern and meaning they tend to be ruthless when given the opportunity. Nkunku's pace is one good reason why they ended the 2021/22 Bundesliga campaign with a league-high 14 goals from counter-attacks.

But Domenico Tedesco's side are dangerous in all sorts of situations. They also ranked first in the league for long-range goals (11), while only DFB Cup runners-up Freiburg got more goals from free-kicks (10 compared to eight).

Watch: The best of Leipzig in 2021/22

With players like Josko Gvardiol and Willi Orban to the fore at the back, and Kevin Kampl and Konrad Laimer doing likewise in midfield, Leipzig were also well able to mix it last season. They were third in the league for both challenges won (51.4 per cent) and for aerial challenges won (53.9 per cent), leading to a third-place finish for possession (54.5 percent on average) behind Bayern and Borussia Dortmund.

On Saturday, though, Leipzig will come up against the most clinical side in the Bundesliga. Bayern scored a league-high 97 goals in 34 matches last term, making them the only team in the top flight to outperform their xG expectation (96.4).

A total of 76 of Bayern's goals came from open play, while their 678 shots and 323 attempts on target were also a Bundesliga-best mark. Serge Gnabry was the most efficient forward in the division when presented with a chance, getting 14 goals against an xG of 8.9.

The champions could have ended up with more goals too - no one team struck the woodwork more times than Julian Nagelsmann's team (18).

Watch: The best of Bayern in 2021/22

In Alphonso Davies (22.43 mph/ 36.1 km/h). Bayern had the fifth-fastest player in the league, while they had the most possession (61 percent per game), completed passes (87 percent), passes (625 per game), sprints (249) and corners (215).

Bayern also had a league-low 293 fouls and three goals conceded on the counter, suggesting that - as you would expect from the champions - they had a serious measure of control in every match that played.

Nagelsmann has of course lost Robert Lewandowski to Barcelona, but Mane - as well as Mathys Tel later in the season - will help them adjust. Dutch defender Matthijs de Ligt could make them even more solid at the back, while two other former Ajax players - Ryan Gravenberch and Noussair Mazraoui - have also bolstered the champions.

In contrast there hasn't been too much change at Leipzig - they replaced Tyler Adams by bringing in Xaver Schlager from Wolfsburg - and Tedesco has now had a first pre-season to fine-tune his team.

As the statistics suggest, it's set up to be an enthralling encounter this weekend.

>> Click here for Supercup history
>> 5 reasons to watch the Supercup
>> How do the two teams compare?
>> 5 reasons Bayern can beat Leipzig
>> 5 reasons Leipzig can beat Bayern
>> Leipzig vs. Bayern: contrasting histories
>> German football's exciting new rivalry
>> How might Bayern line up this season?
>> How might Leipzig line up this season?