Heard of the Austrian club from Salzburg bidding to beat Bayern Munich and Robert Lewandowski in the UEFA Champions League? - © images/Ulrich Hufnagel
Heard of the Austrian club from Salzburg bidding to beat Bayern Munich and Robert Lewandowski in the UEFA Champions League? - © images/Ulrich Hufnagel

5 reasons Bayern Munich will beat Salzburg in the UEFA Champions League round of 16


Robert Lewandowski, form and history are good reasons why Bayern Munich will get the better of Salzburg in their UEFA Champions League last-16 second leg on Tuesday.

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After Kingsley Coman levelled the tie in Austria, bundesliga.com explains why Bayern will seal the deal and progress to the quarter-final stage...

1) Lewandowski, period

Lewandowski was kept quiet in the first leg, but that's only his second blank of seven Champions League appearances this season. He scored in his first five games in the groups, putting him on nine tournament goals for the campaign, and 82 in 103 appearances all told. Only Cristiano Ronaldo (140) and Lionel Messi (125) have more in the history of the Champions League, but they're both way off LewanGOALski's pace across 2021/22. The Bayern No.9 - and reigning two-time FIFA Best Men's Player - heads the pan-European charts with 28 Bundesliga goals, scored at a rate of one every 78 minutes. That alone is more than Messi and Ronaldo combined in all competitions (22 goals).

Watch: All 28 of Robert Lewandowski's Bundesliga goals so far in 2021/22

2) World-class support crew

Football is a team game and no individual – not even Lewandowski – can win matches alone. Look at the first leg in which Coman - Bayern's matchwinner in the 2019/20 final - scored the richly deserved equaliser. In Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, it was Leroy Sane - incidentally the record champions' next best goal threat in this season's Champions League, after Lewandowski, with five of his own and four assists. Then there's Thomas Müller - the Bundesliga's creator-in-chief with a league-leading 16 assists, as well as the likes of Joshua Kimmich and Serge Gnabry. Together, the aforementioned trio have accounted for 31 competitive goals in 2021/22. As a team, meanwhile, Bayern have struck 114 times - 33 more than Salzburg's 81.

The likes of Serge Gnabry, Thomas Müller and Leroy Sane (l-r.) have a habit of delighting fans at the Allianz Arena. - Alexander Scheuber/Bundesliga/Bundesliga Collection via Getty Images

3) Fortress Allianz

With such a bevy of scorers in tow, it's little wonder Bayern are so good for a goal in front of their own fans. Julian Nagelsmann's ex employers RB Leipzig were the last team to shut out the Bavarians at the Allianz Arena, in a goalless draw in the Bundesliga back on 9 February 2020. In European competition, Bayern's free-scoring exploits extend some 29 matches, all the way back to their 2017/18 quarter-final with Sevilla, while it's been two goals or more in every home Champions League fixture since the start of 2019/20. Those statistical tidbits suggest Salzburg - who have lost six of their nine games in Germany and won just one of six Champions League away fixtures - will need to score three times to have any chance of advancing. And remember, there's no away-goals rule anymore.

Kingsley Coman scored a 90th-minute equaliser in the first leg in Salzburg. - Frank Hoermann/SVEN SIMON via www.imago-images.de/imago images/Sven Simon

4) Tournament pedigree

Bayern are veritable European heavyweights, after all. They have nine wins in their previous 10 ties at this stage in the Champions League, and an overall last-16 record of W13, L4. The six-time continental champions are also 10 games unbeaten against Austrian clubs, winning all three of their two-legged knockout meetings with teams a short hop over the Bavarian border. What's more, they've won all five home matches against Austrian visitors, scoring 15 goals and conceding only three, and have come out on top in all but three of their 24 UEFA ties in which they drew the first leg away from home.

5) Bundesliga > Bundesliga

Both the German and Austrian leagues carry the same name, but that is about as far as the similarities go. Down the years, Salzburg have faced German Bundesliga clubs 19 times and they have won just six of them, losing eight. One of those wins came last October, when they defeated Wolfsburg, but they also lost to the Wolves in the reverse fixture in November. You don't have to go back far to see the last time Salzburg faced Bayern either, with the two teams meeting in the group stage last season. Bayern held the upper hand in both of those fixtures, winning 3-1 in Munich after a 6-2 win in Salzburg, with Lewandowski on target three times over the two fixtures. And the last time Salzburg faced German opponents in a knockout stage, they were eliminated by Eintracht Frankfurt 6-3 on aggregate, in the 2019/20 UEFA Europa League.