Highlights
F. Prigan
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90'
+ 5
90'
+ 4
90'
+ 3
Emreli! Pulls one back!
Out of nowhere, the striker nods in a corner. Still two minutes to play. Nuremberg have hope!
Goal probability 
Goal probability
Goal probability determines the likelihood that the ball will land in the goal from every position on the pitch. The value is based on large amounts of data from previous years; factors such as shot angle, distance to goal and opponent pressure - as well as mathematical models.
Distance to Goal
Distance to Goal
The distance to goal is measured at the time of the shot - from the position of the ball to the center of the goal.
90'
+ 1
Stoppage time
Five minutes are indicated.
90'
Speed check: The fastest player in the game after 90 minutes
Speed check: The fastest player in the game after 90 minutes
Through high-end camera technology and machine learning, the speed of each player is evaluated in real time. Top speed then means, the fastest measured single frame of a player/game.
89'
Another yellow card
Yilmaz is also cautioned. Herrmann curls the resulting free-kick from a half-left position towards the top left corner - Reichert flies across and saves.
88'
Substitution
88'
Substitution
86'
Triple substitution
Terho, Herrmann and Eneglns are brought on to help Paderborn secure their away victory. There's no sign of a Nuremberg fightback.
86'
Substitution
86'
Substitution
86'
Substitution
Michel pounces for the 3-1
© IMAGO/Sportfoto Zink / Wolfgang Zink
82'
Frustration
Lubach and Justvan are frustrated with how the match is unfolding and complain too vehemently, with each shown a yellow card.
79'
Super Sub
Michel has scored all four of his goals this season after coming off the bench.
77'
Michel! 3-1!
Kwasniok's substitutes make an impact, as Nürnberg's keeper blunders! Reichert lets Curda's cross slip through his hands. Michel is on the spot and pokes the ball in for his fourth goal of the season.
Goal probability
Goal probability
Goal probability determines the likelihood that the ball will land in the goal from every position on the pitch. The value is based on large amounts of data from previous years; factors such as shot angle, distance to goal and opponent pressure - as well as mathematical models.
Distance to Goal
Distance to Goal
The distance to goal is measured at the time of the shot - from the position of the ball to the center of the goal.
76'
Nuremberg pattern
Nuremberg have already lost five times this season after taking the lead - will it happen for the sixth time now?
74'
No shot
Schellers' forceful challenge gives Nuremberg a free kick from the right half of the pitch, but former Paderborn player Justvan fails to find a teammate with his delivery.
74'
Kwasniok shuts up shop...
... and brings on defender Curda for midfielder Mehlem.
73'
Emreli!
There's the chance for 2-2! Lubach's cross from the left is met by Emreli six metres from goal, but he shoots over the bar.
73'
Substitution
71'
Strong performance
Jander has so far managed to escape from 79 percent of situations under pressure from opponents.
71'
Pressure Handling
Pressure Handling
This Match Fact examines how successfully players perform under pressure. The percentage of "solved situations" indicates how often a player has freed himself from opponent pressure by dribbling, passing, scoring a goal or drawing a foul.
79%
%
Caspar Jander
14 times under pressure
70'
Another Yellow
Obermair also picks up a yellow card.
69'
Ansah!
Michel crosses from the left to his strike partner. The first touch is poor, however, and Reichert collects the ball.
67'
First corner
After more than an hour, Nürnberg finally gets to cross from the quarter circle. Lubach's delivery from the left flies untouched to the right wing.
66'
Klose also makes a substitution
And it's an offensive one: left winger Forkel comes on for centre-back Karafiát.
65'
Grimaldi's day is done
Michel, a fresh 34-year-old, comes on for the struggling 34-year-old.
65'
Substitution
65'
Substitution
62'
No pace
Nuremberg pass the ball too sluggishly from right to left when in possession. This approach won't break down the compact Paderborn defence.
59'
Grimaldi struggling
The Paderborn striker is obviously playing through the pain here.
Ansah celebrates his goal
© IMAGO/Sportfoto Zink / Wolfgang Zink
57'
Ansah marauding
This time the goalscorer gets to a header after a cross from the left half-space, but he puts it narrowly wide of the right-hand post.
55'
Paderborn want more
Nuremberg are struggling to muster a response, and the visitors look to follow up immediately. However, Ansah's dribble on the left doesn't get him through.
54'
Game turned around
Since going a goal down, Paderborn have more than doubled their chances of winning.
53'
Win Probability
Win Probability
This Match Fact documents significant changes in the probability of victory for both teams during the course of the match. The value is based on actual match play and incorporates existing Match Facts such as Expected Goals, Skill and Set-Piece Dange
2'
24.6 %
Now
68.3 %
53'
Grimaldi down
After a Paderborn corner, the experienced striker has stayed down and is now receiving treatment.
50'
Good Reaction
His yellow card in the first half was the fifth for Ansah this season. He will have to watch from the stands suspended next week, but today he has gifted his team what could be a precious goal here.
49'
Ansah smashes it in! Paderborn take the lead!
This time it's Paderborn who shoot out of the gates! Zehnter passes to Ansah on the left side of the penalty area. He cuts inside, feints once and then sends a powerful shot into the bottom left corner!
Goal probability
Goal probability
Goal probability determines the likelihood that the ball will land in the goal from every position on the pitch. The value is based on large amounts of data from previous years; factors such as shot angle, distance to goal and opponent pressure - as well as mathematical models.
Shot speed
Shot speed
Shot speed describes the maximum speed in km/h that a ball reaches in a shot on goal. The distance is measured from the location of the shot to the centre of the goal.
Distance to Goal
Distance to Goal
The distance to goal is measured at the time of the shot - from the position of the ball to the center of the goal.
48'
Obermair tries his luck
The Paderborn captain shoots from distance. It's a bobbling effort, but Reichert has no problems.
46'
We're back under way!
Nürnberg have kicked off the second half.
Kick-off!
45'
+ 6
Half-time: Nuremberg 1-1 Paderborn
Nuremberg started at a rapid pace, scoring with their first shot but, after Castrop's apparently serious injury, Paderborn used the momentum to equalise. Subsequently, the teams neutralised each other - perhaps there will be more of a spectacle in the second half.
Half-time
45'
+ 2
Balanced
xGoals
The xGoals value of a club is calculated from the sum of all goal probabilities (goals and shots on goal) of that team. During a match, it’s easy to see whether the club is performing better than expected (goals > xGoals) - or maybe even higher (xGoals > goals).
xGoals
1
0.8
0.81
1
Goals
45'
+ 1
Stoppage time
Five minutes added on.
45'
Zehnter again!
Same pattern from a corner on the right: Zehnter loses his man again and fires his half-volley into a crowd of players, where the ball is deflected - Reichert then makes a safe catch.
44'
Off Target
The visitors play a free-kick from the left wing flat to the inside. Zehnter shoots from the edge of the penalty area, but it goes clearly over the bar.
41'
First Yellow
Ansah get the first booking of the match after a foul in midfield.
38'
Midfield skirmish
Emreli's shocked Paderborn with the opener, then Scheller dropped a mood killer after Castrop's injury - after digesting their respective setbacks, both sides seem to be content with a 1-1 scoreline at half-time.
35'
Inaccurate
Riemann intercepts Janders' imprecise pass into the final third. Paderborn's keeper hasn't had anything else to do since conceding the early goal.
32'
Fallen asleep
Currently, the initial feeling-out phase that was missing at the start is being made up for.
30'
Speed check: The fastest player in the game after 30 minutes
Speed check: The fastest player in the game after 30 minutes
Through high-end camera technology and machine learning, the speed of each player is evaluated in real time. Top speed then means, the fastest measured single frame of a player/game.
Get well soon, Jens Castrop!
© IMAGO/Sportfoto Zink / Wolfgang Zink
26'
Too high
Nuremberg keeper Reichert easily collects a cross from the left flank.
24'
Turning Point
Goal attempts
0off target
1on target
3off target
1on target
22'
Scheller's first
That was the centre-back's first Bundesliga 2 goal - in his 28th second division match.
20'
Scheller! Equaliser!
Mood killer in Nürnberg! Shortly after Castrop's bitter departure, Scheller rises highest to meet a corner from the left and nods in with a bouncing header at the far post.
Goal probability
Goal probability
Goal probability determines the likelihood that the ball will land in the goal from every position on the pitch. The value is based on large amounts of data from previous years; factors such as shot angle, distance to goal and opponent pressure - as well as mathematical models.
Distance to Goal
Distance to Goal
The distance to goal is measured at the time of the shot - from the position of the ball to the center of the goal.
18'
Schleimer takes over...
...Castrop's position in the left attacking midfield.
18'
Substitution
17'
Bitter
Strapped to the stretcher, with his hand covering his face and to the supportive applause of the crowd, Castrop is carried off the pitch.
16'
Doesn't look good
Castrop is still lying on his back on the pitch, will probably have to be carried off the field on a stretcher.
14'
Castrop down
The Nuremberg midfielder caught some studs in a challenge and requires treatment.
11'
Supply chain
That was Emreli's fifth goal in Bundesliga 2 - and the fourth cooked up by Justvan.
9'
That was close
Paderborn press high and almost score an easy goal through Grimaldi. Reichert just manages to clear the ball out of the six-yard box ahead of the onrushing Paderborn player.
7'
Nuremberg want more
Again, they move quickly through the middle, but Justvan narrowly fails to reach the ball.
6'
Don't blink
For the Franconians, it was their fastest goal in over three years - in January 2022, Nuremberg also scored in the second minute, against Düsseldorf.
4'
Electric atmosphere
Shortly before kick-off, Nuremberg fans unfurled a large banner featuring legendary personalities from the club's history - this seems to have inspired the players to something special.
2'
Lightning start! Nuremberg take the lead!
The hosts score with their first shot: Emreli is sent through on goal, rounds Riemann and slides the ball into the empty net from a slightly tight angle on the left side of the penalty area!
Goal probability
Goal probability
Goal probability determines the likelihood that the ball will land in the goal from every position on the pitch. The value is based on large amounts of data from previous years; factors such as shot angle, distance to goal and opponent pressure - as well as mathematical models.
Distance to Goal
Distance to Goal
The distance to goal is measured at the time of the shot - from the position of the ball to the center of the goal.
1'
Kick-off!
Paderborn have kicked off and are playing in their away kits. Nürnberg are traditionally dressed in red and black.
Kick-off!
Onto the pitch!
The teams are entering the pitch at the atmospheric and sun-drenched Max-Morlock-Stadion.
Comeback?
Calvin Brackelmann has been out injured since early March but is now back in the squad. The 1.96-metre/6'4" defender was Paderborn's hero in the first leg, heading in the winning goal from a corner to make it 3-2 in the sixth minute of stoppage time while his team was down to ten men.
Chance for Hansen
Mattes Hansen has had ten brief appearances in the second division this season - Paderborn's defensive midfielder is starting for the first time since March 2024.
Klose welcomes Kwasniok
© IMAGO/Sportfoto Zink / Daniel Marr
Kwasniok rings changes again
The departing manager is known for his fondness for rotation - in the 13th match of the second half of the season, Lukas Kwasniok makes at least three changes for the ninth time. Mehlem, Ansah and Hansen move into the starting XI, replacing Curda, Herrmann (both on the bench) and Castaneda (suspended).
Jander is back
Only change for FCN compared to the away win at the Betzenberg: Caspar Jander has served his suspension and replaces Lukas Schleimer in the starting XI. Captain Robin Knoche and goalscorer Stefanos Tzimas remain sidelined.
This is how Paderborn line up:
Riemann - Götze, Scheller, Hoffmeier - Obermair, Mehlem, Hansen, Zehnter - Ansah - Grimaldi, Bilbija
Nürnberg's starting XI
Reichert - Drexler, Gruber, Karafiát - Janisch, Jander, Lubach, Yilmaz - Justvan, Castrop - Mahir Emreli
What Klose says
"It is difficult to prepare for Paderborn, as they can play with many variations. We expect a very tough opponent."
1:45
Madness: Paderborn keeper suddenly becomes striker!
Justvan against his former club
During Nuremberg's last home victory against Paderborn in November 2022 (2-1), Julian Justvan scored for Paderborn. Justvan played for the East Westphalians from 2020 to 2023, making his first 96 appearances in the Bundesliga 2 for them and scoring eight goals.
Down to ten men? No problem!
Nuremberg last won against Paderborn in November 2023, winning 3-1 away from home with ten men (red card for Jens Castrop).
Red card and record!
In the first game, the score was 2-2 when Adriano Grimaldi (who has scored in each of the last three matches against the hosts) saw red in the 78th minute for an elbow on Finn Jeltsch. With a man down, Calvin Brackelmann headed Paderborn to their historic first home victory against Nuremberg in stoppage time.
Nuremberg's record against Paderborn
Nuremberg have won eight of their twelve competitive matches against Paderborn (11 in the Bundesliga 2 and once in the DFB Cup) - but in the last two encounters, Paderborn celebrated two victories.
Hello and welcome!
Welcome along and thanks for joining us for build-up and live coverage of this Matchday 30 fixture between 1. FC Nuremberg and SC Paderborn 07.